PSG v Arsenal Betting Markets
The Full-Time Result odds are interesting. Paris Saint-Germain are not usually available at odds-against to win in normal time. However, they're chalked up at 2.15 to claim a victory against their English opposition in Budapest. This indicates that PSG only have a 47% chance of getting the job done before the full-time whistle.
Personally, we rate them as having a much higher chance of a victory. Luis Enrique's team are not competing on a domestic front considering that the Ligue 1 side already have the title in the bag. They produced an attacking masterclass to beat Chelsea by a whopping 8-2 on aggregate and they were then able to beat Liverpool 2-0 home and away to knock out another English team.
This is a different kind of assignment against a stronger opponent, although the fact that they scored a total of six goals against Bayern Munich over two games will outline that Arsenal will have to be defensively spot-on to stop the opposition scoring. Their chance creation is likely to be high, with Desire Doue, Ousmane Dembele and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia probably the most dangerous front three in Europe.
The Gunners are regarded as having a 32% chance of landing a victory in normal time. Mikel Arteta's side have won twenty-three of their thirty-five Premier League games this term, with Arsenal having found a way to beat Atletico Madrid in the semis. The London team claimed a 1-1 draw in the Spanish capital before a 1-0 success at the Emirates to seal a 2-1 aggregate victory.
Maybe the draw comes into play here. We know that Arsenal are capable of keeping a clean sheet against anyone and there's the chance of the Budapest final ending in a goalless draw or with a 1-1 or 2-2 scoreline. It's an outcome which would suit the Gunners who will want to stop the opposition from creating chances.
Goals Under/Over
According to the Champions League betting sites, it's a toss-up as to whether there will be Under or Over 2.5 Goals in the Budapest final. The argument for Over is that Paris Saint-Germain are power scorers. Given an opportunity, PSG will find the net on a regular basis and they put eight past Chelsea over two games. However, it was a more modest 2-0 victory over Liverpool home and away.
Luis Enrique's side won't necessarily feel willing to go forth and score lots of additional goals if they get their noses in front. They demonstrated a steely defensive side at the Allianz Arena which saw them nearly keep Bayern Munich at bay. Harry Kane's late goal ended up being nothing more than a consolation strike in the end. If Arsenal go a goal in front, then we might expect a strong defensive rearguard in one of the biggest games of their history.
BTTS
There's a leaning towards BTTS Yes in this game. Paris Saint-Germain are very rarely nullified. At the time of writing, we've recently seen two BTTS Yes clashes between the French side and Bayern Munich along with a 2-2 draw against Lorient. In the past twenty-four matches in all competitions, Luis Enrique's team have been on target with at least one goal and it means scoring is a strong likelihood.
As for Arsenal, they are sometimes thwarted but not a huge amount of the time. They registed a goal when drawing 1-1 away to Atletico Madrid before a Bukayo Saka ensured that they claimed a 1-0 success against Atleti in the second leg. Sixty-seven goals across thirty-five top-flight matches represent a good return and the two teams met at the semi-final stage of last season's competition.
It was a 1-0 win for PSG in the first leg at the Emirates Stadium before a 2-1 success at the Parc des Princes. We actually like the idea of an underrated Paris Saint-Germain team simply proving too strong and Arsenal have already lost a cup final this season without scoring. Therefore, a win for the Ligue 1 champions can be combined with BTTS No to create a decent price.
First Goalscorer
Desire Doue, Ousmane Dembele and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia are the front three who will be competing for goals. The first name on that list is a twenty-year-old who has scored thirteen goals this term although Dembele was on target with a brace at the Parc des Princes against Bayern Munich before scoring an early goal at the Allianz Arena to really take the game away from the opposition.
Kvaratskhelia is a workhorse and the Georgian has been in blistering form recently. There were consecutive braces against Nantes and Bayern Munich recently, with the left-sided player likely to cause any number of problems for whoever is playing right-back for Arsenal.
For Arsenal, it might be Viktor Gyokeres who can find a way past a PSG defence which did admittedly concede four goals against Bayern Munich at the Parc des Princes. Perhaps Bukayo Saka is also worthy of consideration, with the English forward coming in from the right, while set pieces could also come into Arsenal's favour.
Gabriel has often been the right man when it comes to corners and free-kicks, with the Brazilian likely to be duelling it out with compatriot Marquinhos who is a man mountain himself. William Saliba will also be up against many of his international team-mates and we're expecting him to feature prominently in the box.