Bayern Munich v Real Madrid Betting Markets
Bayern Munich are a hard team to oppose. They haven't lost a match in any competition since a 2-1 home reverse against Augsburg. Since then, there have been twelve wins and two draws across fourteen encounters. At home, it's been 100% at the Allianz Arena where victories have been racked up. It's hardly a surprise that Vincent Kompany's team are trading at odds-on to achieve a second leg success.
A price of 1.57 about Bayern suggests that the German champions have a 65% chance of winning the second leg clash. They only need a draw to go through although it's clear that they won't be settling for the match to end all square against dangerous opposition. Bayern are 1.11 to reach the semi-finals and set up a likely semi-final encounter against Paris Saint-Germain.
Bayern enjoyed a massive 10-1 aggregate victory over Atalanta in the previous round and it started with a 6-1 success in Italy before finishing the job at home. They're a team who are bursting with goals and they've scored thirteen times across their previous four encounters. It's hard to see how Real Madrid can now overturn this one-goal deficit.
Real did enjoy a 5-1 aggregate success against Manchester City although that started with a 3-0 first leg win over Pep Guardiola's side. It gave them a cushion going to the Etihad Stadium whereas they will have to hatch some kind of game plan where a strong defensive rearguard needs to be backed up with goals at the other end.
A recent five-game winning run was brought to an end abruptly by Mallorca when suffering a 2-1 defeat which effectively means that Los Merengues are going to miss out to Barcelona in their La Liga title race. Then came a 2-1 defeat against Bayern and one can't help but feel the German side will get over the line.
Goals Under/Over
It's not very often that you get Over 2.5 Goals trading as short as 1.30 for a football match. These odds imply that there's a 77% chance of three or more goals being notched at the Allianz Arena. The bookies anticipate that Over 3.5 Goals is more likely to happen compared to Under 3.5 Goals, with the former trading at around the 1.80 mark.
There were three goals scored during the first leg encounter. It was an open clash where Real Madrid managed nine efforts on target and Bayern were just behind them with eight. There were an additional fourteen shots on target. Previously to this match, the German side's games involved five, four and five goals.
The balance of the tie also means that Real Madrid have to go for a victory and it's unlikely that they will play defensively despite the quality of the opposition.
BTTS
The BTTS Yes odds are trading slightly higher than Over 2.5 Goals. It's still regarded as a highly likely outcome and the number of shots on target from the two teams in the first leg suggests that this could well happen. Some punters will be looking to pair Bayern Munich and BTTS Yes together considering that this is available at a highly backable price.
It's true that Bayern are a winning machine but the German champions are not ones for clean sheets. In the past nine encounters, only one game against Union Berlin saw them enjoy a shutout. Teams such as Freiburg, Atalanta (twice) and Eintracht Frankfurt have found the net against the Bavarian outfit.
It's hard to consider the BTTS No odds too strongly unless Real Madrid slump at the Allianz Arena. They might well look to counter on the break against a goal-hungry side and the first port of call will be to cut off the supply to Harry Kane who can lay claim to being the world's most dangerous forward. BTTS Yes is certainly one for the Bet Builder even if you don't want to bet it as a single.
First Goalscorer
Harry Kane. The man, the myth, the legend. The Bayern Munich forward has scored an incredible thirty-one goals in the Bundesliga this term. In all competitions, the striker's tally stands at fifty-four and there simply aren't many games where the England captain fails to find the net. In the past fourteen encounters, there have been eighteen goals and only two games where a blank has been drawn.
Luis Diaz has racked up twenty-five goals across all competitions and the Colombian will definitely be a livewire if given space. He was able to score at the Bernabeu, with Michael Olise generating eighteen goals and he notched a brace at Atalanta in the previous round of the Champions League.
Kylian Mbappe boasts similar numbers to Kane. The Frenchman bagged a goal as part of a 2-1 friendly win over Brazil for his country and his goal at the Bernabeu against Bayern might yet prove to be pivotal. He was able to reduce the arrears in the first leg and we know that any Real Madrid comeback will come down to the forward having chances to find the net.